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Polymarket

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?

11.5%Observed YES midpoint

2026-10-16 20:35:28.609 UTC · unknown at capture

Contract identity & source

polymarket:condition-sha256:a6f65baaae6452ac280ebdb08ba6554ab67ba313a30c5355ab85b87797e8db70

Metadata observation: 2026-10-16 20:35:28.429 UTC

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