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Polymarket

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

4.5%Observed YES midpoint

2026-10-16 09:22:44.457 UTC · unknown at capture

Contract identity & source

polymarket:condition-sha256:098c5afe7a8d09ed77aa3bedf338810c6b33eebf03a88d9b9a7f12ce806a47ff

Metadata observation: 2026-10-16 09:22:44.295 UTC

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