Compare contracts

Same subject does not mean the same payout. Compare the supplied conditions before drawing a conclusion.

Search loaded catalogContract

Read a contract outside the catalog

No background collection is started. Kalshi requires a separate data-use agreement and is not connected.

Polymarket

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?

3.3%Observed YES midpoint

2026-11-04 15:18:01.464 UTC · unknown at capture

Contract identity & source

polymarket:condition-sha256:f151475f79c92a450cc81e3a8e6ff7ed8eae90aebfac2d20e1865358b1b261a2

Metadata observation: 2026-11-04 15:18:01.304 UTC

Add one more contract to compare. Titles alone never establish a matching event or payout.