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Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
9.5%Observed YES midpoint
2026-10-16 15:58:27.066 UTC · unknown at capture
Contract identity & source
polymarket:condition-sha256:6fde34051b91fa55ec8ce5695bd7f06cab94f07337bc5643210431ce17d41347Metadata observation: 2026-10-16 15:58:26.609 UTC
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