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No background collection is started. Kalshi requires a separate data-use agreement and is not connected.
Polymarket
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?
99%Observed YES midpoint
2026-10-16 09:22:52.725 UTC · unknown at capture
Contract identity & source
polymarket:condition-sha256:61e0e1d77f42f86128cc470fc03708b5986606453c1bf4c87a31022633e49851Metadata observation: 2026-10-16 09:22:52.567 UTC
Open supplied source Add one more contract to compare. Titles alone never establish a matching event or payout.