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No background collection is started. Kalshi requires a separate data-use agreement and is not connected.
Polymarket
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
88%Observed YES midpoint
2026-10-16 09:22:53.447 UTC · unknown at capture
Contract identity & source
polymarket:condition-sha256:a456ab8b6fadce565c351f134bccc950453a4fb1e73ce97fb89bbc2de2b8caf8Metadata observation: 2026-10-16 09:22:53.296 UTC
Open supplied source Add one more contract to compare. Titles alone never establish a matching event or payout.