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No background collection is started. Kalshi requires a separate data-use agreement and is not connected.
Polymarket
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
3.2%Observed YES midpoint
2026-10-16 16:43:42.195 UTC · fresh at capture
Contract identity & source
polymarket:condition-sha256:098c5afe7a8d09ed77aa3bedf338810c6b33eebf03a88d9b9a7f12ce806a47ffMetadata observation: Not supplied
Open supplied source Add one more contract to compare. Titles alone never establish a matching event or payout.