Polymarket
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
96.85%Observed YES midpoint
Contract identity & source
polymarket:condition-sha256:254330cd8e8d41d92727477b4a898794ed6eec26b712bea002a2d9cad0c99cc7Metadata observation: Not supplied
Open supplied sourceSame subject does not mean the same payout. Compare the supplied conditions before drawing a conclusion.
No background collection is started. Kalshi requires a separate data-use agreement and is not connected.
polymarket:condition-sha256:254330cd8e8d41d92727477b4a898794ed6eec26b712bea002a2d9cad0c99cc7Metadata observation: Not supplied
Open supplied sourceAdd one more contract to compare. Titles alone never establish a matching event or payout.