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No background collection is started. Kalshi requires a separate data-use agreement and is not connected.
Polymarket
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
4.5%Observed YES midpoint
2026-10-16 08:05:04.840 UTC · stale at capture · archived
Contract identity & source
polymarket:condition-sha256:73f25a2ce97a5a5d2aefcb6744ac4828679648ce2156ddf03871f7093d1b4801Metadata observation: Not supplied
Open supplied source Add one more contract to compare. Titles alone never establish a matching event or payout.