Polymarket
Iran Nuke before 2027?
3.95%Observed YES midpoint
Contract identity & source
polymarket:condition-sha256:8abdbcaba9a4f038064c9541306046f032af1cabea8584ab696800e6b4bba5e8Metadata observation: Not supplied
Open supplied sourceSame subject does not mean the same payout. Compare the supplied conditions before drawing a conclusion.
No background collection is started. Kalshi requires a separate data-use agreement and is not connected.
polymarket:condition-sha256:8abdbcaba9a4f038064c9541306046f032af1cabea8584ab696800e6b4bba5e8Metadata observation: Not supplied
Open supplied sourceAdd one more contract to compare. Titles alone never establish a matching event or payout.