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No background collection is started. Kalshi requires a separate data-use agreement and is not connected.
Polymarket
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
31.5%Observed YES midpoint
2026-10-16 15:02:36.754 UTC · fresh at capture
Contract identity & source
polymarket:condition-sha256:91797bbe1f7ba19cddb42e514283980366fcd672d61143ecdeaef6078ae852daMetadata observation: Not supplied
Open supplied source Add one more contract to compare. Titles alone never establish a matching event or payout.