Polymarket
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
6.5%Observed YES midpoint
Contract identity & source
polymarket:condition-sha256:98980d109f40ea6de6967dbb29b02fb9f529466e0693846c5f6b1804f828edd8Metadata observation: Not supplied
Open supplied sourceSame subject does not mean the same payout. Compare the supplied conditions before drawing a conclusion.
No background collection is started. Kalshi requires a separate data-use agreement and is not connected.
polymarket:condition-sha256:98980d109f40ea6de6967dbb29b02fb9f529466e0693846c5f6b1804f828edd8Metadata observation: Not supplied
Open supplied sourceAdd one more contract to compare. Titles alone never establish a matching event or payout.