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Polymarket

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

19.5%Observed YES midpoint

2026-10-16 17:00:12.144 UTC · fresh at capture

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polymarket:condition-sha256:d3e4581a8bd4cfad7e65e81d1ce0e89601208edd134292da767afc14d8471430

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