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Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?
25.5%Observed YES midpoint
2026-10-22 20:00:12.912 UTC · fresh at capture
Contract identity & source
polymarket:condition-sha256:d917b0ad327dbbb8817475ecb475b9b08b8e3eb14c32e5255a9cd2aa6ef51ac9Metadata observation: Not supplied
Open supplied source Add one more contract to compare. Titles alone never establish a matching event or payout.