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Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

9.5%Observed YES midpoint

2026-10-16 04:15:34.625 UTC · fresh at capture

Contract identity & source

polymarket:condition-sha256:03cdd7599c8f49e22e247bca3141ef10740aba938f5b851b01d28a9ec3a47bc1

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