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No background collection is started. Kalshi requires a separate data-use agreement and is not connected.
Polymarket
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?
1.25%Observed YES midpoint
2026-10-16 00:46:11.031 UTC · stale at capture · archived
Contract identity & source
polymarket:condition-sha256:4e4a09d1d3e9715b382fdf60149a70b6429f8a9f21147bdf4140cfbda9d2634fMetadata observation: Not supplied
Open supplied source Add one more contract to compare. Titles alone never establish a matching event or payout.