Polymarket
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
94.8%Observed YES midpoint
Contract identity & source
polymarket:condition-sha256:5d96bce914583a368198fec80b1d8c90ed8e483693049c201e0991877e4213ceMetadata observation: Not supplied
Open supplied sourceCompare contracts
Same subject does not mean the same payout. Compare the supplied conditions before drawing a conclusion.
Read a contract outside the catalog
No background collection is started. Kalshi requires a separate data-use agreement and is not connected.
Add one more contract to compare. Titles alone never establish a matching event or payout.