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No background collection is started. Kalshi requires a separate data-use agreement and is not connected.
Polymarket
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
54%Observed YES midpoint
2026-10-14 17:40:11.605 UTC · stale at capture · archived
Contract identity & source
polymarket:condition-sha256:67af0918afbe637d4a8ae360926c4fa295cf797113e47626d440510cb8573aefMetadata observation: Not supplied
Open supplied source Add one more contract to compare. Titles alone never establish a matching event or payout.