Polymarket
Plague pandemic in 2026?
1.9%Observed YES midpoint
Contract identity & source
polymarket:condition-sha256:7e0d99826c0c5f8af6dd5dd0412c12202002630f6ba989b2210f01b7f1fb7e19Metadata observation: Not supplied
Open supplied sourceSame subject does not mean the same payout. Compare the supplied conditions before drawing a conclusion.
No background collection is started. Kalshi requires a separate data-use agreement and is not connected.
polymarket:condition-sha256:7e0d99826c0c5f8af6dd5dd0412c12202002630f6ba989b2210f01b7f1fb7e19Metadata observation: Not supplied
Open supplied sourceAdd one more contract to compare. Titles alone never establish a matching event or payout.