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Polymarket · on-demand contract read
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Contract tools
This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.
YES order book
Observed midpoint
Book identity & receipt
- Best YES bid / ask
- 1.4% / 1.5%
- Provider timestamp (raw)
- 1792128595352
- YES token
51508280778202349361616850684455231843716212176724253736363122559269229712002- Book digest
7c6b8d5b39cc71df7972a3480d4281243453bb87f8c072edcd2b3e644d5aa4c3
Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.
Hantavirus: WHO wording, not an emergency label alone
WHO’s July 2 report describes containment of the M/V Hondius outbreak. This is not a year-end verdict: the contract requires an explicit WHO pandemic characterization, and a PHEIC alone does not qualify.
Limited to the reviewed claims. Event outcome, settlement and cause of a price move are not established.
Reviewed
Open this check versionOne-time source collection
Inspect the evidence behind the contract
Collect exact source passages and export them with this contract’s identity. No sign-in required.
Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.
Price for your size
Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.
Venue-provided conditions
What defines this contract
Description & declared source
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Separate resolution rules
- No usable separate rules supplied
- Declared resolution source
- Not supplied
- Scheduled end
- 2027-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
- Outcomes
- Yes / No
- Venue metadata updated
- 2026-10-16 05:27:06.581562 UTC
The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.
Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.
Conditions history
Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.
Exact contract & metadata receipt
- Canonical market ID
polymarket:condition-sha256:07840c9903e820c85d2e4206bf7b16e569804b767ca0e9f3e17231875c5f6cb8- Condition ID
0xa4ddc18895cc7b14810283ef8f113939abffd3969c6a0e37f1897110c67e6f73- Metadata read at
- 2026-10-16 05:30:17.664 UTC
- Metadata digest
20e94c992ebe051a63aad792e71558f6f24ad6e69e7a3cb19a2db92a5f3a0d78
The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.