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Polymarket · on-demand contract read
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
Contract tools
This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.
YES order book
Observed midpoint
Book identity & receipt
- Best YES bid / ask
- 2.3% / 2.4%
- Provider timestamp (raw)
- 1792124887905
- YES token
62696881393507701671568714886104232145806083876869116842923329037716230412522- Book digest
e6fd641236df80a77c820f9ca97818d3b3e24959bb2879a1b1e344448ba8bb47
Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.
No source review for this market
The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.
- Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
- Identify the resolution authority named in the contract conditions.
- Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
- Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.
One-time source collection
Inspect the evidence behind the contract
Collect exact source passages and export them with this contract’s identity. No sign-in required.
Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.
Price for your size
Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.
Venue-provided conditions
What defines this contract
Description & declared source
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.
- Separate resolution rules
- No usable separate rules supplied
- Declared resolution source
- Not supplied
- Scheduled end
- 2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
- Outcomes
- Yes / No
- Venue metadata updated
- 2026-10-16 04:23:06.938887 UTC
The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.
Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.
Conditions history
Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.
Exact contract & metadata receipt
- Canonical market ID
polymarket:condition-sha256:4b1670b966bd215ff0b3ea906d17796da8f15900e8106af05c8a13066dd76d79- Condition ID
0x699edd4556a15758bcddd34b896eb4d1cf8eaf712f0fdd984971cc08ee244ecf- Metadata read at
- 2026-10-16 04:28:12.155 UTC
- Metadata digest
5057446eddbad2779d030ec0baef0fe525f91f8330eae4f6ebafdfbc6fc3c431
The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.