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Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Venue metadata read Oct 16, 2026, 08:18 UTC

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This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

Observed midpoint

Book received 2026-10-16 08:18:54.525 UTC

39.5%YES midpoint · fixed at this read
Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
39% / 40%
Provider timestamp (raw)
1792138722661
YES token
114694726451307654528948558967898493662917070661203465131156925998487819889437
Book digest
6963f613af8b39989241e176184f5edf0640e75dc85447b9e02fb7c1b0bfc861

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
  • Identify the resolution authority named in the contract conditions.
  • Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

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Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

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Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Declared resolution source
Not supplied
Scheduled end
2027-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 08:15:06.687298 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:b735a269255db9f3a87e98908cb1b3962d8d82481418114eb714488e057035a5
    Condition ID
    0xd1796c09d0d6f876f8580086ae9808ec991784e3a74b25a1830a25de71a78c96
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-16 08:18:54.366 UTC
    Metadata digest
    29fa2b8939e7a3b42664f53bfe5ff21229caa1a658b22216e40ef525bb6dfe06

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.