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Polymarket · on-demand contract read
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
Contract tools
This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.
YES order book
Observed midpoint
Book identity & receipt
- Best YES bid / ask
- 32.6% / 33.3%
- Provider timestamp (raw)
- 1792185218246
- YES token
75496880713570558226487851363025041503257426636783085116492267360525381703782- Book digest
91a6fa7e7651606a27eefc258cbcc8d36cbce95983c1820d906164997bed5b3a
Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.
No source review for this market
The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.
- Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
- Identify the resolution authority named in the contract conditions.
- Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
- Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.
One-time source collection
Inspect the evidence behind the contract
Collect exact source passages and export them with this contract’s identity. No sign-in required.
Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.
Price for your size
Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.
Venue-provided conditions
What defines this contract
Description & declared source
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/urg.pdf
- Separate resolution rules
- No usable separate rules supplied
- Declared resolution source
- Not supplied
- Scheduled end
- 2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
- Outcomes
- Yes / No
- Venue metadata updated
- 2026-10-16 21:10:53.041149 UTC
The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.
Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.
Conditions history
Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.
Exact contract & metadata receipt
- Canonical market ID
polymarket:condition-sha256:1345d2609d13d8300354c47cbe7296e7f45693bd23599f7d1dd5f318a1e22fbc- Condition ID
0xb2afaf375208490fbfbb21aa5f1a9fcd35838b2ff747fde0ffc26099f644b6f3- Metadata read at
- 2026-10-16 21:13:41.404 UTC
- Metadata digest
3c18a5840b2d04e58cc430e63c96c5f22b73b05f258ad0776658f6543516deb6
The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.