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Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Venue metadata read Oct 16, 2026, 08:18 UTC

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This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

Observed midpoint

Book received 2026-10-16 08:18:05.564 UTC

3.65%YES midpoint · fixed at this read
Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
3.6% / 3.7%
Provider timestamp (raw)
1792138684470
YES token
350977769852917329387037893294763093471844346281449484439085576212613048126
Book digest
503cd74e885743eee814d60d8984c6e4e2d3b73f414775609a3ff0ed3695bf09

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
  • Identify the resolution authority named in the contract conditions.
  • Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

One-time source collection

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Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

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Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Declared resolution source
Not supplied
Scheduled end
2027-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 08:17:08.734182 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:22e647f089f43e62955ea24e1dcc7d77cf159e978dedade090c4490b47a5312f
    Condition ID
    0x6bd56627aa21311850825edb27e53434a0e17a4f782be0086bc07f71eee00d0d
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-16 08:18:05.413 UTC
    Metadata digest
    457f9919b7464564aa259442b835439ffc3d12bd88a99407186c9b4d173da87a

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.