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Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Venue metadata read Oct 16, 2026, 12:41 UTC

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This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

Observed midpoint

Book received 2026-10-16 12:41:41.339 UTC

0.15%YES midpoint · fixed at this read
Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
0.1% / 0.2%
Provider timestamp (raw)
1792154306855
YES token
67834126955354466786049932246962827069514258320708123726234642047236874537300
Book digest
ec2188ddb65aeaa15468b99702e71aba5fa01050a3aaffc24cbec9669be0e109

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
  • Identify the resolution authority named in the contract conditions.
  • Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

One-time source collection

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Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

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Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.

An explicit read only. Changing the size does not create an order or start background collection.

Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Declared resolution source
Not supplied
Scheduled end
2028-11-08 04:59:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 12:33:07.225573 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:3ee3a4d4cf0986448916f338611ed285fe830a2ba652172b90126caf788b3ed0
    Condition ID
    0x88c805f8d638bd14c188a67112bc40ae85d5eea4b7370d7586e8f5b8d37da304
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-16 12:41:41.183 UTC
    Metadata digest
    1bbe4c449584f4dff7eb1070a9781c6fd86627e56bf99fb53714b8c682fbe9a3

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.