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Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?

Venue metadata read Oct 20, 2026, 21:14 UTC

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This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

Observed midpoint

Book received 2026-10-20 21:14:31.846 UTC

6.35%YES midpoint · fixed at this read
Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
5.7% / 7%
Provider timestamp (raw)
1792530871768
YES token
14019338047015116363647881161218089382810459815641543837118894763944589305345
Book digest
0583cbcd4562bbe06513ab392b122c777e36104c613d0490bf3dbf2006eb8ff9

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
  • Identify the resolution authority named in the contract conditions.
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  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

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Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

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Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

The first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the first round ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election as published by the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Declared resolution source
Not supplied
Scheduled end
2026-10-25 23:59:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-20 21:11:29.622091 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:35283e5c6d5e1458941c999a9ff051f925ce874c3d679b825ac40b3298a75786
    Condition ID
    0xff32948bb1a667c8934c638f43e60c81d6b4796e7ff06c9b9fc587813524ba57
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-20 21:14:31.678 UTC
    Metadata digest
    b51736866fc086fb4784666d4ac3c2b0bb1a77ba72a075082c8d13b1cb762eb6

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.