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Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Will another party win the IN-04 House seat?

Venue metadata read Oct 20, 2026, 10:53 UTC · Venue reports inactive

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This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

No two-sided midpoint observed

No usable book observation time

—YES midpoint · fixed at this read

No book returned

Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
— / —
Provider timestamp (raw)
Not supplied
YES token
108270921072245146387737479437474258404087960079165141264314586155123684606225
Book digest
No valid book response retained in this read

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
  • Identify the resolution authority named in the contract conditions.
  • Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

One-time source collection

Inspect the evidence behind the contract

Collect exact source passages and export them with this contract’s identity. No sign-in required.

Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

Price for your size

Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.

An explicit read only. Changing the size does not create an order or start background collection.

Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Declared resolution source
Not supplied
Scheduled end
2026-11-03 00:00:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-07-08 15:24:36.178864 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:6aee1f33415d34d9793df5581c77efa8625b81f241bd8163573071522e73c6cf
    Condition ID
    0xde504aae7a5163400f6bfbe9b7123e420ad3b9925d438c9432a4e2b216ffba47
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-20 10:53:48.508 UTC
    Metadata digest
    b3b2fd95e0724d6c161d12434681695d6f263a36c80f91a6b06d7bb921e52c8f

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.