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Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?

Venue metadata read Oct 17, 2026, 19:00 UTC · Venue reports closed

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This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

No two-sided midpoint observed

No usable book observation time

—YES midpoint · fixed at this read

Venue reports closed; no current book requested

Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
— / —
Provider timestamp (raw)
Not supplied
YES token
71097281061537671219893208238968597016104938625436103346333746819886472904844
Book digest
No valid book response retained in this read

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
  • Identify the resolution authority named in the contract conditions.
  • Scheduled end has passed. Check the venue’s current status and resolution source; the date alone does not establish closure or settlement.
  • Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

One-time source collection

Inspect the evidence behind the contract

Collect exact source passages and export them with this contract’s identity. No sign-in required.

Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

Price for your size

Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.

An explicit read only. Changing the size does not create an order or start background collection.

Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Declared resolution source
Not supplied
Scheduled end
2026-08-01 03:59:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-09-30 21:44:03.634992 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:16d8c3dd19e4c78170d7c050bbc6f72f56149a8b7254af8b64c689e63f27d156
    Condition ID
    0x9ebc829a2458c28101b7834ebbbfe436d6f2b97b5018eaeb58018dafaf70966e
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-17 19:00:17.537 UTC
    Metadata digest
    584e45e67bcddc5ac87508d288bb802ee40489734ec0bf884d6909a2462d51c0

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.