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Polymarket · on-demand contract read
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Contract tools
This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.
YES order book
Observed midpoint
Book identity & receipt
- Best YES bid / ask
- 29% / 30%
- Provider timestamp (raw)
- 1792168601429
- YES token
85567606653867502913749464852682346172600530450398625881433301542129553100434- Book digest
b8811218f4da839a0dd8a43c0f16a9729a72104531584256e05894a4a527c146
Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.
No source review for this market
The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.
- Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
- Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
- Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.
One-time source collection
Inspect the evidence behind the contract
Collect exact source passages and export them with this contract’s identity. No sign-in required.
Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.
Price for your size
Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.
Venue-provided conditions
What defines this contract
Description & declared source
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
- Separate resolution rules
- No usable separate rules supplied
- Declared resolution source
- https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php
- Scheduled end
- 2027-10-25 03:59:00 UTC
- Outcomes
- Yes / No
- Venue metadata updated
- 2026-10-16 16:34:52.006232 UTC
The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.
Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.
Conditions history
Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.
Exact contract & metadata receipt
- Canonical market ID
polymarket:condition-sha256:91508252619c7e00c56294c86656257ee4bd633ace1a762d6f85f796a4924d74- Condition ID
0xf35a561cedd2aab1aad1744ea4b05e91d38edb4c0b64c76196bd11a4cf0b6bde- Metadata read at
- 2026-10-16 16:36:41.958 UTC
- Metadata digest
4899e71b25947ef984e4bde0e34da399aa1bf2add2bf14f44c70a027d370d512
The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.