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Polymarket · on-demand contract read
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?
Contract tools
This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.
YES order book
Observed midpoint
Book identity & receipt
- Best YES bid / ask
- 6% / 7%
- Provider timestamp (raw)
- 1792633008889
- YES token
65710340847928463620991566082994656002922673891777077235559888767925599088131- Book digest
c3b80bb17be2960fa32a9626c34748cd3cf6a22e71f65a4ed12ab94661e0d482
Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.
No source review for this market
The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.
- Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
- Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
- Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.
One-time source collection
Inspect the evidence behind the contract
Collect exact source passages and export them with this contract’s identity. No sign-in required.
Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.
Price for your size
Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.
Venue-provided conditions
What defines this contract
Description & declared source
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
- Separate resolution rules
- No usable separate rules supplied
- Declared resolution source
- https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
- Scheduled end
- 2026-11-01 04:00:00 UTC
- Outcomes
- Yes / No
- Venue metadata updated
- 2026-10-22 01:30:57.528291 UTC
The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.
Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.
Conditions history
Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.
Exact contract & metadata receipt
- Canonical market ID
polymarket:condition-sha256:70d883ba7352a0a0e665ce238527c6ac45b663f9dda3597f70e664ea9daddfcb- Condition ID
0x5280e91e95ab540de0879f26813f060f51f9d77d8c2e41dd81f1aec41c8bb714- Metadata read at
- 2026-10-22 01:36:55.855 UTC
- Metadata digest
5082a7ff2f8b355ac3dbc28037dee27da86bc2378139eff943a9e842110e4efa
The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.