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Polymarket · on-demand contract read
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
Contract tools
This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.
YES order book
Observed midpoint
Book identity & receipt
- Best YES bid / ask
- 29% / 30%
- Provider timestamp (raw)
- 1792838449003
- YES token
37011650970792437921328530439273985710481032638212715110420998355785945483754- Book digest
84922c6ad6578a359ace52be8f04c1a44c30cf5c1054e029cd86838b6c57fcca
Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.
No source review for this market
The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.
- Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
- Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
- Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.
One-time source collection
Inspect the evidence behind the contract
Collect exact source passages and export them with this contract’s identity. No sign-in required.
Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.
Price for your size
Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.
Venue-provided conditions
What defines this contract
Description & declared source
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
- Separate resolution rules
- No usable separate rules supplied
- Declared resolution source
- https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
- Scheduled end
- 2027-01-01 05:00:00 UTC
- Outcomes
- Yes / No
- Venue metadata updated
- 2026-10-24 10:36:37.799855 UTC
The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.
Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.
Conditions history
Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.
Exact contract & metadata receipt
- Canonical market ID
polymarket:condition-sha256:5fcf798f53822930f3054a65dfac6702737d9e4753fa28f4f8e21fc96e23a6ab- Condition ID
0xacec7e5b90ccb1ac4c950e3aff18156d6ce1bb7b0c87c001a281279412dca784- Metadata read at
- 2026-10-24 10:41:20.235 UTC
- Metadata digest
716eccdfed61b96ab4f63da0c84277f01a03c65dbaffca4d3c0f501c61ab8e6d
The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.