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Polymarket · on-demand contract read
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Contract tools
This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.
YES order book
Observed midpoint
Book identity & receipt
- Best YES bid / ask
- 0.1% / 0.2%
- Provider timestamp (raw)
- 1792161995218
- YES token
46762065358788748743762617584400316865170283087328708370205000691002445395596- Book digest
2a163c9a982ddad97be42f2ce8e71e95e66afd743c1b94a5e4cfb8239ab1258d
Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.
No source review for this market
The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.
- Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
- Identify the resolution authority named in the contract conditions.
- Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
- Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.
One-time source collection
Inspect the evidence behind the contract
Collect exact source passages and export them with this contract’s identity. No sign-in required.
Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.
Price for your size
Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.
Venue-provided conditions
What defines this contract
Description & declared source
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
- Separate resolution rules
- No usable separate rules supplied
- Declared resolution source
- Not supplied
- Scheduled end
- 2028-11-08 04:59:00 UTC
- Outcomes
- Yes / No
- Venue metadata updated
- 2026-10-16 14:43:15.188376 UTC
The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.
Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.
Conditions history
Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.
Exact contract & metadata receipt
- Canonical market ID
polymarket:condition-sha256:3adcfbf0c73d1b7ef45efb91b0afc25de81f8646802b8f936fbc4d6357e1cf79- Condition ID
0x655b4bfdfa55a95c24d6e9bf7e7cd62f1b57da9a1f4c7f40f090b8ba847dffa2- Metadata read at
- 2026-10-16 14:50:19.348 UTC
- Metadata digest
3e0e7971169f292b9c0378e88073b1a622f5c0a81231b51884ede8d0b9f4a1b4
The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.