Skip to contract
howsure
Developers
My work

Back to Analysis · A separate current read of your selected contract. Historical and paused snapshots remain unchanged; returning opens the latest Analysis.

Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Venue metadata read Oct 16, 2026, 05:47 UTC

Contract tools
Compare contractsOpen venue

This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

Observed midpoint

Book received 2026-10-16 05:47:34.573 UTC

0.15%YES midpoint · fixed at this read
Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
0.1% / 0.2%
Provider timestamp (raw)
1792129625487
YES token
28452090262595806306683841543702974671789939255165753137157118490078999198778
Book digest
e331df7377bfe47f9932fffcb0c23ef815652df50cae09ffe7cec8472532aacd

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
  • Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

One-time source collection

Inspect the evidence behind the contract

Collect exact source passages and export them with this contract’s identity. No sign-in required.

Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

Price for your size

Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.

An explicit read only. Changing the size does not create an order or start background collection.

Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Declared resolution source
https://www.francefootball.fr/
Scheduled end
2027-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 05:43:06.908676 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:2234181fceb550b25095fa5e6a2ddaafaeeb5a296d5718918091ab4640921738
    Condition ID
    0xc89266786402aaabe78111eb91c6764d86857bbc4427c82b91d60a5ef69a70d0
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-16 05:47:34.419 UTC
    Metadata digest
    27ad7f52b0863c470ba7c8ed2b433700d229706a6cb3898e1255183cfcc30efc

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.