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Polymarket · on-demand contract read
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Contract tools
This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.
YES order book
Observed midpoint
Book identity & receipt
- Best YES bid / ask
- 11% / 12%
- Provider timestamp (raw)
- 1792872367088
- YES token
114795982188663428564917597167716379346421811703835638076510302263064007011486- Book digest
6faa278ffa747bf4349d673dee301e926aa1533a24e3e1dd4881f27ec2089d1c
Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.
No source review for this market
The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.
- Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
- Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
- Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.
One-time source collection
Inspect the evidence behind the contract
Collect exact source passages and export them with this contract’s identity. No sign-in required.
Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.
Price for your size
Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.
Venue-provided conditions
What defines this contract
Description & declared source
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
- Separate resolution rules
- No usable separate rules supplied
- Declared resolution source
- https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT
- Scheduled end
- 2027-01-01 05:00:00 UTC
- Outcomes
- Yes / No
- Venue metadata updated
- 2026-10-24 20:02:38.644691 UTC
The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.
Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.
Conditions history
Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.
Exact contract & metadata receipt
- Canonical market ID
polymarket:condition-sha256:bf8e6f1efd05c090ca889ea189fae31ac595b8d434fc2a229a521f802464ab75- Condition ID
0x42945ea5657d6f6e77969a06661b29d6f6295083d1ef3479b42efd90647c9dfc- Metadata read at
- 2026-10-24 20:06:32.737 UTC
- Metadata digest
68fe90aa70ec67622e894a01c6c35fe2891c2944be6bfa76ca36a4f8684d46dd
The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.