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Polymarket · on-demand contract read
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Contract tools
This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.
YES order book
Observed midpoint
Book identity & receipt
- Best YES bid / ask
- 44% / 45%
- Provider timestamp (raw)
- 1792125882123
- YES token
21099887182068653164347641846316470453763034851874063977340528628016776716246- Book digest
e05dcb0a52d56a0a4a61e68d4ac1c503fa08b5be2c89ecd8f958bdefdd204bc0
Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.
No source review for this market
The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.
- Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
- Identify the resolution authority named in the contract conditions.
- Scheduled end has passed; the captured venue status is still “active”. Check the venue’s current status and resolution source; the date alone does not establish closure or settlement.
- Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
- Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.
One-time source collection
Inspect the evidence behind the contract
Collect exact source passages and export them with this contract’s identity. No sign-in required.
Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.
Price for your size
Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.
Venue-provided conditions
What defines this contract
Description & declared source
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
- Separate resolution rules
- No usable separate rules supplied
- Declared resolution source
- Not supplied
- Scheduled end
- 2026-06-03 03:59:00 UTC
- Outcomes
- Yes / No
- Venue metadata updated
- 2026-10-16 04:41:07.274961 UTC
The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.
Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.
Conditions history
Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.
Exact contract & metadata receipt
- Canonical market ID
polymarket:condition-sha256:cf75818ba0230206618fa041b999f4ff3f2d160d1e569fec45a4dcfb2b465a3c- Condition ID
0x0c9ada12c527451fbdd43c0397a8a006b8aaf2a01567ae069d37220b51937595- Metadata read at
- 2026-10-16 04:44:58.820 UTC
- Metadata digest
482c072fe203000c89dbc4888f17356067f1d35d926bc5aebc7e4f5baebb262d
The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.