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Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Venue metadata read Oct 16, 2026, 03:51 UTC

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This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

Observed midpoint

Book received 2026-10-16 03:51:46.808 UTC

28.15%YES midpoint · fixed at this read
Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
28% / 28.3%
Provider timestamp (raw)
1792122692236
YES token
10466835326554416965099784068156829774726248334728156046559014834812912458273
Book digest
7991dea1a4a789c035f1fa1807d5716cccb9ed2656ccd2a10014e300537c9b8e

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
  • Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

One-time source collection

Inspect the evidence behind the contract

Collect exact source passages and export them with this contract’s identity. No sign-in required.

Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

Price for your size

Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.

An explicit read only. Changing the size does not create an order or start background collection.

Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Declared resolution source
https://www.francefootball.fr/
Scheduled end
2027-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 03:49:05.995979 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:7ab4796915ce42664e05eff2fc53c2ff36a425a74ddf3538e46b7e25fbed677e
    Condition ID
    0xa34edb6c898232378a9cc08744842df2cd89d278ba45b012bed3ac10c7241c4d
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-16 03:51:46.648 UTC
    Metadata digest
    cb8def5ac5fab45f1f675283fb5b8bb19437b0041e9b87c3e9cd9e943abd3a0a

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.