Skip to contract
howsure
Developers
My work

Back to Analysis · A separate current read of your selected contract. Historical and paused snapshots remain unchanged; returning opens the latest Analysis.

Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Venue metadata read Oct 16, 2026, 04:44 UTC

Contract tools
Compare contractsOpen venue

This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

No two-sided midpoint observed

Book received 2026-10-16 04:44:49.146 UTC

—YES midpoint · fixed at this read

Two-sided book unavailable

Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
— / 0.1%
Provider timestamp (raw)
1792125860987
YES token
89194809054137575419175388726154485325193802797230727484307111472702259856508
Book digest
b052433ac0d5818fd88b13cb4b13ff20e523603de838cd6b91e94a3d24de1ee0

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
  • Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

One-time source collection

Inspect the evidence behind the contract

Collect exact source passages and export them with this contract’s identity. No sign-in required.

Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

Price for your size

Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.

An explicit read only. Changing the size does not create an order or start background collection.

Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Declared resolution source
https://www.francefootball.fr/
Scheduled end
2026-10-31 00:00:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 04:39:07.514092 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:981123f205c111722b3748ca224d1d3cd78a82bacf302a846e1779fdc7ee9ae6
    Condition ID
    0xc6421c3ee02a46dfff6a860fd1649ad81b168f781842ab732fd4dd6791d6c431
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-16 04:44:48.991 UTC
    Metadata digest
    e3f0a935a4fbc0420cbc7e42292e3f4c1bec44eecf6b8e632f53b62ec17748e8

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.