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Polymarket · on-demand contract read
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
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This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.
YES order book
Observed midpoint
Book identity & receipt
- Best YES bid / ask
- 8% / 9%
- Provider timestamp (raw)
- 1792408244571
- YES token
47617027649104766887294669232031918628837692334181076286693699298360483181002- Book digest
f33fc50230841d00898bd95f1057c5e54ae5401fbd3efede7f65ce0f777ea58a
Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.
No source review for this market
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- Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.
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Price for your size
Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.
Venue-provided conditions
What defines this contract
Description & declared source
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
- Separate resolution rules
- No usable separate rules supplied
- Declared resolution source
- https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page
- Scheduled end
- 2026-10-28 03:59:00 UTC
- Outcomes
- Yes / No
- Venue metadata updated
- 2026-10-19 11:07:14.122837 UTC
The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.
Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.
Conditions history
Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.
Exact contract & metadata receipt
- Canonical market ID
polymarket:condition-sha256:3ab1fd86478a15b09aeb0d9e922b0f9125f7b0bf9968486c4ff04b9ff1b82b81- Condition ID
0xc855714184ac46005a7897c68f274147f0abf1fde791421541edb065fa65a1e4- Metadata read at
- 2026-10-19 11:10:44.578 UTC
- Metadata digest
4911f2147546ccf03e63448d3c7c4f9ef71645e2124197e2324f249c35728336
The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.