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Polymarket · on-demand contract read
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Contract tools
This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.
YES order book
Observed midpoint
Book identity & receipt
- Best YES bid / ask
- 0.8% / 2.2%
- Provider timestamp (raw)
- 1793112241391
- YES token
60606617344503240835351427277911212364624625909548592079777259944602378541587- Book digest
a104ae7127a7d4de6e739eccfb2bf4cae9264c84b324018fe42273949f61a9db
Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.
No source review for this market
The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.
- Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
- Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
- Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.
One-time source collection
Inspect the evidence behind the contract
Collect exact source passages and export them with this contract’s identity. No sign-in required.
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Price for your size
Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.
Venue-provided conditions
What defines this contract
Description & declared source
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
- Separate resolution rules
- No usable separate rules supplied
- Declared resolution source
- https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page
- Scheduled end
- 2026-10-28 03:59:00 UTC
- Outcomes
- Yes / No
- Venue metadata updated
- 2026-10-27 14:42:20.813765 UTC
The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.
Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.
Conditions history
Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.
Exact contract & metadata receipt
- Canonical market ID
polymarket:condition-sha256:b3c28b684097c109b16bcca5a88556616cfbff36198f444e3ead3206afb984e7- Condition ID
0x78b3aec55f914a149fc110ffd4dcfb008ff94e2df4a451b396f7c14a572d6aa7- Metadata read at
- 2026-10-27 14:44:03.879 UTC
- Metadata digest
56f82b66f54ccc6e81e955379b38fdc4dfaa3e681a81cce8fcf85c03ab36835d
The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.