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Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Venue metadata read Oct 16, 2026, 16:32 UTC

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This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

Observed midpoint

Book received 2026-10-16 16:32:32.796 UTC

0.35%YES midpoint · fixed at this read
Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
0.2% / 0.5%
Provider timestamp (raw)
1792168351651
YES token
11615453259162026711735319847170426027109446622508026904311759828522904399277
Book digest
ffd1d00bed14338f1c18a4bc1ae777f01201cad5f7e73c737531c69776418a08

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
  • Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

One-time source collection

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Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

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Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.

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Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Scheduled end
2027-10-25 03:59:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 16:30:52.198437 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:f0b90f324249c4ce7c98668589cde66d81fbc3d0bee2d8c9a805a8e22bb565ba
    Condition ID
    0x9e7ff979adcbb3d593393fb7f476db93c89ca7deb8de68085c02080a0c793d11
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-16 16:32:32.634 UTC
    Metadata digest
    528ea909a27b2e494eee3a382cea13a599de36c50fd8f326199aa77c7fd5b81a

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.