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Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Venue metadata read Oct 16, 2026, 08:19 UTC

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This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

Observed midpoint

Book received 2026-10-16 08:19:55.404 UTC

0.45%YES midpoint · fixed at this read
Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
0.4% / 0.5%
Provider timestamp (raw)
1792138794938
YES token
9934113093655416680286628757466195390541433919926679748365064383588582773497
Book digest
97391b8985667a1f7cf8c8ad55f39ffbe10329a4d2325a0effbe7453a01f1999

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
  • Identify the resolution authority named in the contract conditions.
  • Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

One-time source collection

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Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

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Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Declared resolution source
Not supplied
Scheduled end
2026-10-28 03:59:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 08:15:06.687298 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:d211cb3352e205109c917c0dde73f6de59e9f2d9352865bf066fbdc0d9416cea
    Condition ID
    0x63ae982679bf9dd981cf98fc13dc17a7f25548ca8ffddfb3691d69770139351f
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-16 08:19:55.232 UTC
    Metadata digest
    b009c080b3d31bce7a2598c16751a8443f1a70a837f8f29c4ea57c8b1e9ff534

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.