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Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

Venue metadata read Oct 24, 2026, 10:41 UTC

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This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

Observed midpoint

Book received 2026-10-24 10:41:11.021 UTC

65.5%YES midpoint · fixed at this read
Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
65% / 66%
Provider timestamp (raw)
1792838466613
YES token
22967364920644358226385731525996197470260180996122246275896497110825555742942
Book digest
2318952eccac6fc9cb2a32b36c4b4aae34184082f84c334b510b140db4febf2b

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
  • Identify the resolution authority named in the contract conditions.
  • Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

One-time source collection

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Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

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Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.

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Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Declared resolution source
Not supplied
Scheduled end
2026-10-27 03:59:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-24 10:36:37.799855 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:3b12e8e9de06a5d5ffb99169d164da7d5311c7f7f9d085f08d973ad56fb77e66
    Condition ID
    0x1295040186326703b63b9c7d719f8c5bb88ee6fa9672e3924f90ef74ee7b0459
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-24 10:41:10.870 UTC
    Metadata digest
    5ed2b64039c3139ab205275843089700e25c73501ce8cf2ff1defdb86eeb4cde

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.