Skip to contract
howsure
Developers
My work

Back to Analysis · A separate current read of your selected contract. Historical and paused snapshots remain unchanged; returning opens the latest Analysis.

Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Venue metadata read Oct 16, 2026, 08:18 UTC

Contract tools
Compare contractsOpen venue

This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

Observed midpoint

Book received 2026-10-16 08:18:56.204 UTC

0.3%YES midpoint · fixed at this read
Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
0.2% / 0.4%
Provider timestamp (raw)
1792138678293
YES token
11343337042526652606304508556838778144915122118685013460142819817079620240439
Book digest
be09a1fcb2931a89e7feed989fabcd800ee7c26d00ebd3fb36d0c4ef3f459897

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
  • Identify the resolution authority named in the contract conditions.
  • Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

One-time source collection

Inspect the evidence behind the contract

Collect exact source passages and export them with this contract’s identity. No sign-in required.

Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

Price for your size

Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.

An explicit read only. Changing the size does not create an order or start background collection.

Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Declared resolution source
Not supplied
Scheduled end
2028-11-08 04:59:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 08:07:08.478372 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:dffde2fadac9480751780fe8ce6634e47df0c68c141a7ec2bb073ac3ae5c30f5
    Condition ID
    0x1945a8b23e313ed7423b6b6fd556f9ab5578900376b565a61dc480a5f4f35d21
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-16 08:18:56.051 UTC
    Metadata digest
    ad5f500ea433c998b8cbd3ff2f17f0a62ab05eef390e2cb015a785825fe32000

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.