Skip to contract
howsure
Developers
My work

Back to Analysis · A separate current read of your selected contract. Historical and paused snapshots remain unchanged; returning opens the latest Analysis.

Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Will Person AG win the 2027 French presidential election?

Venue metadata read Oct 16, 2026, 06:02 UTC · Venue reports inactive

Contract tools
Compare contractsOpen venue

This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

No two-sided midpoint observed

No usable book observation time

—YES midpoint · fixed at this read

No book returned

Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
— / —
Provider timestamp (raw)
Not supplied
YES token
86977839456011135296402510212140219275133743261980743286448487013052084267835
Book digest
No valid book response retained in this read

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
  • Identify the resolution authority named in the contract conditions.
  • Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

One-time source collection

Inspect the evidence behind the contract

Collect exact source passages and export them with this contract’s identity. No sign-in required.

Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

Price for your size

Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.

An explicit read only. Changing the size does not create an order or start background collection.

Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Declared resolution source
Not supplied
Scheduled end
2027-04-19 03:59:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-09-28 17:11:25.939709 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:bf09cbf70141db0abb8c53b4e65cc7699a0628625c5d6407fb4f110f68139f5b
    Condition ID
    0x1aee11d8a11bc9df3c20eeb3ad3988ee6736db975fef17b4a78e310fe34120f0
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-16 06:02:40.628 UTC
    Metadata digest
    33875f1bffb87f542952413be770b12d2c6a268c8d668a044b420a167721d6e5

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.