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Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Venue metadata read Oct 16, 2026, 12:39 UTC

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This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

Observed midpoint

Book received 2026-10-16 12:39:29.765 UTC

0.15%YES midpoint · fixed at this read
Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
0.1% / 0.2%
Provider timestamp (raw)
1792154304791
YES token
60590045489347122735554346200880179420435533609307820342798544098823516727807
Book digest
12285bbc20b50dc93fa587ede97157c4d7a5ed573ad4b1eccbe00ec18fec52c3

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
  • Identify the resolution authority named in the contract conditions.
  • Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

One-time source collection

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Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

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An explicit read only. Changing the size does not create an order or start background collection.

Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Declared resolution source
Not supplied
Scheduled end
2028-11-08 04:59:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 12:33:07.225573 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:70d63c54c47cf554418e61c7de8d8f214a9f6e8a8cf9ddefbe3c9bd41a553004
    Condition ID
    0xc8f1cf5d4f26e0fd9c8fe89f2a7b3263b902cf14fde7bfccef525753bb492e47
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-16 12:39:29.607 UTC
    Metadata digest
    83458967b52f820dfc5edebe115e241b92e7af6c81a7f507b4b93cd820e3be19

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.