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Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Venue metadata read Oct 17, 2026, 11:06 UTC

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This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

Observed midpoint

Book received 2026-10-17 11:06:15.748 UTC

99.05%YES midpoint · fixed at this read
Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
99% / 99.1%
Provider timestamp (raw)
1792235174236
YES token
58527611073420283009369936461084764824964857567606734891598926759299731813608
Book digest
eadd661bdb81c32fc633909c556cf717b0d8a6da71cb477ec8c9cdb6437e4174

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
  • Identify the resolution authority named in the contract conditions.
  • Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

One-time source collection

Inspect the evidence behind the contract

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Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

Price for your size

Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.

An explicit read only. Changing the size does not create an order or start background collection.

Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Declared resolution source
Not supplied
Scheduled end
2027-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-17 11:05:15.777579 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:82f2057dd7a53cab4fde91135cc321f9c97c908186d85ea1cda8119443857d06
    Condition ID
    0xd93366079fab7bcb8a03705969822056b76226a48fd5bb7b1475a5b186cf6f07
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-17 11:06:15.588 UTC
    Metadata digest
    8b08e884a0c87a0a3addfeeb883f81f40a52fd8a6a0c6b9c098d8183714bfda1

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.