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Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?

Venue metadata read Oct 16, 2026, 16:40 UTC

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This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

Observed midpoint

Book received 2026-10-16 16:40:48.971 UTC

29.5%YES midpoint · fixed at this read
Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
29% / 30%
Provider timestamp (raw)
1792168835481
YES token
30424541292784877350495001354252975055952568624850695789713995653053526735723
Book digest
fe3da84c3c8a54186c88039aa250977d38111df3c360c5438f7055f3881493da

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
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  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

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Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

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Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Declared resolution source
https://www.fec.gov/
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 16:38:52.264082 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:e9858e8686259294525888abc69855e1da52040d7f8448f7cecfd38cb06a8ba3
    Condition ID
    0xcef8e45eaf09b568ff3e7672dc656707792900b4ba2f0ffaf6b0388819b0dab8
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-16 16:40:48.814 UTC
    Metadata digest
    c8f3971fa4380e00bceffbc43be846f5bb6b8ca3ec916542318ef3afe258275f

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.