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Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?

Venue metadata read Oct 29, 2026, 02:52 UTC

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This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

Observed midpoint

Book received 2026-10-29 02:52:37.981 UTC

7%YES midpoint · fixed at this read
Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
6% / 8%
Provider timestamp (raw)
1793242357392
YES token
102134576754598286649546885868416989707545637875943269439533353198498871476278
Book digest
1ec4fe7886b857a33591e266519653b8376bdc8d7b3387ccf382536d9c3d3a52

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
  • Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

One-time source collection

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Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

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Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Declared resolution source
https://www.fec.gov/
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-29 02:50:43.116938 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:a95c6fd6b8696e070f331901bc884af2f6cb9cb57d0a6e6159f028f3a6c28bb2
    Condition ID
    0x32f3edc7d5fea00cac5d05b1ca8ebe16f95cd86afefbb7e0548c7ef74a5a54c5
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-29 02:52:37.776 UTC
    Metadata digest
    a692a0084551213a8aad4167b3aeac94ff821b305abba759b17f6ce507e6bc92

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.