Skip to contract
howsure
Developers
My work

Back to Analysis · A separate current read of your selected contract. Historical and paused snapshots remain unchanged; returning opens the latest Analysis.

Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?

Venue metadata read Oct 16, 2026, 16:16 UTC

Contract tools
Compare contractsOpen venue

This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

Observed midpoint

Book received 2026-10-16 16:16:34.792 UTC

8.5%YES midpoint · fixed at this read
Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
8% / 9%
Provider timestamp (raw)
1792167394366
YES token
11450408400059654095752682163375174616927289912740528299907491682505834882757
Book digest
dc752038602a5a99ab62eafd1bca8eb47b4a17410bc088619554878944aedc9f

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
  • Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

One-time source collection

Inspect the evidence behind the contract

Collect exact source passages and export them with this contract’s identity. No sign-in required.

Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

Price for your size

Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.

An explicit read only. Changing the size does not create an order or start background collection.

Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Declared resolution source
https://www.fec.gov/
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 16:12:51.559378 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:9bdb1d2b7a9fac4bd826b62ddb2ef887b252b375159c00b2abffcb2b4f343d7f
    Condition ID
    0xc45d1b634a3f7052449cd7a06916708bca746dddfbc36a9b156822d1dd67c818
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-16 16:16:34.639 UTC
    Metadata digest
    dbaab92830867364128b23f2aab4cbf396c0d24acfe4a7ee468e68e62cf28adb

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.