Skip to contract
howsure
Developers
My work

Back to Analysis · A separate current read of your selected contract. Historical and paused snapshots remain unchanged; returning opens the latest Analysis.

Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Venue metadata read Oct 16, 2026, 13:02 UTC

Contract tools
Compare contractsOpen venue

This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

Observed midpoint

Book received 2026-10-16 13:02:50.134 UTC

0.45%YES midpoint · fixed at this read
Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
0.4% / 0.5%
Provider timestamp (raw)
1792155765338
YES token
111796631871113641071635832853519973638674140424258605036492112910151603434351
Book digest
38398ca117a15334a5ab08a2a8b12afc758af9be3749174ac5f43c506e137673

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
  • Identify the resolution authority named in the contract conditions.
  • Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

One-time source collection

Inspect the evidence behind the contract

Collect exact source passages and export them with this contract’s identity. No sign-in required.

Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

Price for your size

Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.

An explicit read only. Changing the size does not create an order or start background collection.

Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Declared resolution source
Not supplied
Scheduled end
2028-11-08 04:59:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 13:01:07.288849 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:63cb7ca186b5ef6d7838256627f3f6f7f12340da851cf13d2d33525500dbf33d
    Condition ID
    0x9cd77217b2ab264fe4f6d302f662c0a91f349fe5798f1f98d70bb2311712791b
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-16 13:02:49.972 UTC
    Metadata digest
    9a9812856db9656850d3a19315ff301fdef7fbd9d4b4941d205eab673349e10a

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.